NFP: USD getting even stronger?
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Last time
These were the figures released in the February NFP:
- Av. Hourly Earnings were 0.2% against the 0.3% expected
- Employment Change was 49K against 85K expected
- Unemployment Rate was 6.3% against the forecast of 6.7%
As the market was unimpressed with the data, the USD started losing value
In fact, it started depreciating before the release - the figures provided by the US Labor authorities just enhanced the effect. That's very visible on the chart below: EUR/USD rises in the marked period from 1.1980 to 1.2050 and keeps rising later on after a brief correction.
This time
Here is what observers expect:
- Av. Hourly Earnings to stay steady at 0.2%
- Employment to increase by 182K
- Unemployment Rate to stay steady at 6.3%
Action plan
- Join our top analyst Nour El Deen Al-Hammoury to trade the NFP live
- If the Average Hourly Earnings and Employment are higher and Unemployment Rate lower than expected, the USD is likely to rise
- If the Average Hourly Earnings and Employment are lower and the jobless rate greater than expected, the USD will soften
Weak NFP data drives the USD down; better-than-thought figures makes the USD stronger
